Why is it necessary to develop scenarios for REn ?

Introducing a large share of RE (Renewable Energy) into a country’s electricity mix requires long-term planning. For example, Morocco’s energy ambitions are sizeable. The share of renewable energies will represent 52% in 2030 (43% in 2020, then 47% in 2025), according to the evolution of the capacity and the electricity mix.

Increasing the share of RE even further means that the supply characteristic of EN will at times play a predominant role in energy supply, and therefore in the power sector. The whole system needs to be adapted in order to be able to cope with various new situations.

Therefore, the forecast scenario analysis must take into account the situation over several different weather years. The interaction of different weather patterns and / or the full availability of solar and wind energy could give very different results such as :

✔ A different total contribution of renewable energies; ✔ A different peak residual charge; ✔ Different amounts of excess power.